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11/02/2004: "Zogby trends: no help."
I recall hearing on Sean Hannity's radio show (from Zogby, I nopw believe) that trands matter; clear trends emerge in the 10 days leading to the election.
So I formatted Zogby's tracking polls to highlight trends in the 10 states Zogby is tracking.
Few trends have emerged:
State | EVs | "Trend" |
CO | 9 | Bumpy Bush trend |
FL | 27 | Bumpy Kerry trend; late Bush push |
IA | 7 | Bumpy Kerry trend |
MI | 17 | Kerry to start and end; Bush in the middle |
MN | 10 | Kerry to start and end; Bush in the middle |
NM | 5 | All Bush until 10/31; late Kerry trend |
NV | 5 | All Bush |
OH | 20 | Bush to start and end; Kerry in the middle |
PA | 21 | All Kerry |
WI | 10 | Bush trend |
These uncertain trends make it too close to call. Plus, this is Zogby only. That said, things do not look good for Bush.